How moderate WOMEN VOTERS could shape the midterms
A new survey from Galvanize Action shows how moderate white women are feeling about President Trump, the political parties, and top issues facing the country ahead of the midterm elections. Founder and Executive Director of Galvanize Action Jackie Payne joins Way Too Early to discuss the findings.
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Transcript
Follow along using the transcript.
Ahead
of the November midterms, Democrats are hoping to take advanta of
President Trump's slipping approval ratings in order to reclaim the
House and Senate from Republicans.
7 seconds
In order to do that, they'll need support from a key voting bloc, women.11 seconds
Data shows women consistently turn out to vote at higher rates than men.15 seconds
In the 2024 presidential election, 91 million women cast a ballot compared to nearly 83 million men.21 seconds
Polling consistently shows that issues like inflation, education and health care are top concerns for women voters.27 seconds
And these will also play a big role, of course, in the upcoming midterm elections.31 seconds
Want to bring in founder and executive director of Galvanize USA and Galvanize Action Jackie Payne.37 seconds
Jackie, your organization is always doing surveys with moderate white women voters.41 seconds
And
they are one of the particular electorates that we look at to see, are
they swinging? Where are their allegiances? And most importantly, what's
driving them?49 seconds
And
so in this new survey, what is the answer to that? What is the
motivating INCREDITING FACTOR? FIRST, THANKS FOR HAVING ME AGAIN.56 seconds
WE
HAVE STUDIED MODERATE WHITE WOMEN FOR THE LAST NINE years because
there's more tn 49 million of them, and they are about a quarter of the
vote chair in the most competitive races.1 minute, 7 seconds
So how they feel really can tip the midterms.1 minute, 9 seconds
In
this I DON'T THINK IT'S GOING TO MAKE SURE THEY ARE NOT HAPPY WITH THE
THING THAT REALLY STUCK OUT TO ME IS THEY'RE NOT HAPPY WITH ANYBODY.
THEY'RE FEELING SO FRUSTRATED.1 minute, 17 seconds
WHEN THEY LOOK 57 % OF WOMEN OPPOSE BOTH DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS.1 minute, 23 seconds
REPUBLICANS, WHEN YOU LOOK AT STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE, REPUBLICANS ARE A LITTLE BIT WORSE. ABOUT EIGHT POINTS WORSE.1 minute, 29 seconds
BUT
THEY'RE NOT HAPPY THEY'RE LOOKING FOR SOMEBODY TO EARN THEIR TRUST AND
PROVE TO THEM THAT THEY'RE GOING TO TAKE CARE OF THEM. NOT HAPPY WITH
ANYBODY.1 minute, 36 seconds
WE
WERE JUST SHOWING ON THE SCREEN THE WAYS THAT THEY ARE DISAPPROVING OF
THE PRESIDENT, DISAPPROVING OF CONGRESS, And I guess the inverse of
that question is, what would it take to earn them back?1 minute, 46 seconds
Where should the focus be?1 minute, 47 seconds
Yeah, I think the number one issue for them is always the economy.1 minute, 50 seconds
Last
month we talked a lot about how the war has caused rising gas PRICES,
REALLY CAUSING ABOUT 80 % OF THEM TO SAY THAT THEY'RE CHANGING HOW THEY
SPEND THEIR MONEY.2 minutes
AND SO THEY NEED SOMEONE TO SHOW UP FOR THEM ON AFFORDABILITY, BUT WE'RE ALSO SEEING THEM PRETTY UPSET WITH CORRUPTION.2 minutes, 7 seconds
SO LAST LAST MONTH, ABOUT 80 % SAID THEY WERE UPSET WITH CORRUPTION.2 minutes, 10 seconds
WE DID A LITTLE MORE RESEARCH THIS MONTH TO ASK WHAT ASPECT OF IT.2 minutes, 14 seconds
THE
TOP DRIVER OF THAT IS THEY FEEL LIKE MEMBERS OF THE The Trump
administration are making foreign deals to enrich the Trump family
itself.2 minutes, 24 seconds
So
I think if I was running for office right now, I would be talking about
affordability and I would be running on anti-corruption because these
women want THEY WANT FAIRNESS AND THEY WANT TO TRUST THE LEADERS THEY
ELECT.2 minutes, 34 seconds
I WAS GOING TO SAY, ARE THEY CONNECTING IT WITH A POLITICAL PARTY OR POLITICAL PERSON? SOUNDS LIKE THE ANSWER IS YES.2 minutes, 40 seconds
IN BROADER POLLING, THEY ACTUALLY DO THINK THAT BOTH PARTIES ARE CORRUPT.2 minutes, 45 seconds
RIGHT NOW, WHAT WE'RE SEEING IS THEY'RE UPSET WITH THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION SPECIFICALLY ON SELF-DEALING AND THEN ALSO2 minutes, 53 seconds
THERE'S
SOME DATA IN THERE AROUND OF FEELING LIKE they're giving tech bros the
keys to the kingdom. And so that's pretty interesting.2 minutes, 59 seconds
That's
really interesting, especially given the ways that Democrats are trying
to message in this upcoming midterm, in part around haves and have-nots
and whose systems work for,3 minutes, 8 seconds
which is messaging that they've tried in the past but feels like particularly fertile ground right now.3 minutes, 14 seconds
I was also pretty struck by some polling you did around drivers of political violence.3 minutes, 18 seconds
We
can pull up on the screen the way that 3 % and the people that you
polled say that it's not a serious problem which I'd like to talk to
them but the ways3 minutes, 26 seconds
in
which they're blaming extreme rhetoric from political leaders as the
reason for political violence is interesting to me and I wonder as we
look towards3 minutes, 34 seconds
SOLUTIONS IF THEY'RE SAYING THAT THEY WANT PEOPLE WHO CAN TAKE THE TEMPERATURE DOWN. FOR SURE.3 minutes, 40 seconds
I THINK THEY'RE LOOKING, I MEAN, WHAT WE SEE IN THIS POLL IS THEY'RE UPSET WITH THE CHAOS AND CORRUPTION, RIGHT?3 minutes, 45 seconds
THEY WANT LEADERS WHO ARE GOING TO FOCUS ON AFFORDABILITY AND JUST KEEP THINGS SAFE AND SECURE FOR THEIR FAMILY, RIGHT?3 minutes, 50 seconds
AND
SO WHEN WE LOOK AT THE POLITICAL VIOLENCE, WHAT WE'RE SEEING IS, IF YOU
LOOK AT THAT POLL, I THINK THEY BLAME THE INDIVIDUALS WHO DO IT, MAYBE
THIRD OR FOUR DOWN THE LIST, RIGHT? EXACTLY.4 minutes
SO
WHAT THEY'RE REALLY BLAMING IS, I THINK IT'S A LOT OF PEOPLE THAT THE
RETHORIC FROM LEADERS AND THE DIVISION THAT THEY'RE SEEING IN THIS
COUNTRY. THEY ARE SO SICK OF THAT CHAOS.4 minutes, 7 seconds
THEY
WANT SAFETY, SECURITY, AND THEY WANT PEOPLE TO BRING US BACK TOGETHER
AND JUST COMPETENCE, YOU KNOW, FOCUS ON AFFORDABILITY, GET IT DONE.4 minutes, 14 seconds
I
THINK WHEN WE LOOK AT THE ISSUE SETS AND THE WAYS THAT I HEAR FROM
REPUBLICAN STRATEGISTS THAT THEY FEEL THE PARTY IS STRUGGLING TO DIRECT
THE SHIP IN THE RIGHT WAY TO WIN ON THOSE KINDS OF issues.4 minutes, 23 seconds
You
also look at the ways that political party favorability in this, it
shows the Democrats are struggling just as much in the eyes of these
female voters.4 minutes, 31 seconds
Do
they have a bigger hill to CLIMB, EVEN THOUGH THE ISSUE SET, IT SEEMS,
IN OTHER POLLS, IS WITH THEM. DO DEMOCRATS HAVE A BIGGER HILL TO CLIMB?4 minutes, 41 seconds
THEY HAVE WORK TO DO TO EARN BACK THE TRUST. YOU KNOW, IT'S INTERESTING.4 minutes, 44 seconds
WE DO SEE THAT REPUBLICANS ARE IN CONTROL OF CONGRESS, RIGHT? AND THE WHITE HOUSE.4 minutes, 48 seconds
AND SO YOU MIGHT EXPECT, I EXPECTED TO SEE THAT THERE WOULD BE MORE DISAPPROVAL OF REPUBLICANS.4 minutes, 52 seconds
AND WE SEE A LITTLE BIT MORE INTENSITY OF FEELING AGAINST REPUBLICANS.4 minutes, 56 seconds
BUT THE FACT THAT THEY ARE VIEWING DEMOCRATS AS IT IS A PROBLEM FOR DEMOCRATS.5 minutes, 5 seconds
THE BRAND IS IN TROUBLE.5 minutes, 6 seconds
THEY HAVE GOT TO SAY TO FOLKS, WE CARE ABOUT YOU, WE WILL SHOW UP ON AFFORDABILITY AND WE ARE NOT GOING TO BE PART OF5 minutes, 16 seconds
WE'VE SEEN GOOD EXAMPLES OF THAT IN SOME OF THE WOMEN GOVERNORS WHO WON IN 2025.5 minutes, 22 seconds
JUST, YOU KNOW, COMPETENCE AND NONE OF THIS DRAMA. Yeah, exactly.5 minutes, 26 seconds
And a hyper focus on affordability dollars and cents issues. It's a fascinating poll. Please keep coming back to us with them.
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