Gas prices hit all-time August high, tanking GOP’s midterm chances
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/8/13/800083555/business-and-economy/gas-prices-hit-all-time-august-high-tanking-gops-midterm-chances/
Gas prices hit all-time August high, tanking GOP’s midterm chances

The average price per gallon of gas in the United States climbed back over $4 on Wednesday, according to data from GasBuddy, as the wars in Iran and Ukraine continue to wreak havoc on energy prices.
That is the highest price gas has been at this point in the year, according to GasBuddy gas price tracker Patrick De Haan, who in a post on X said, “the national average has never been above $4/gal after Aug. 12 in any previous year—ever.”
And that is terrible news for the GOP, with the elevated prices coming as the midterm elections enter the home stretch, with early voting slated to start in a little more than a month in a handful of states.
“Now is when voters’ minds about the economy are starting to solidify and gas prices are a huge driver of that,” Doug Heye, a GOP strategist and former Republican National Committee spokesman, told Politico on Monday.

Indeed, gas prices are intricately linked to presidential approval, which in turn impacts the president’s party in a midterm election.
In fact, as gas prices climb thanks to his war in Iran, President Donald Trump’s approval is now at its lowest level of either term, according to The New York Times’ tracker. Trump’s approval currently stands at an abysmal 37% in the Times’ average, with his disapproval at a stunningly high 60%. That -22% approval rating is far worse than the -11% it stood at in 2018, before his first midterm election that ended up leading to a Democratic wave.
Worse still for Republicans is that there’s no sign that gas prices will meaningfully decline in the near future.
Trump is struggling to end the boondoggle of a war he started in Iran, which has virtually shut off the flow of oil and other refined petroleum products from the Middle East, leading to supply shortages that have spiked the price of gasoline.
Iran has insisted it will not allow traffic through the Strait of Hormuz to resume until the U.S. meets all of its demands—including a lifting of sanctions and allowing it to control the Strait of Hormuz. That would amount to an embarrassing loss for Trump as well as global security.
Related | Iran war keeps dashing GOP’s midterm hopes
However, a continued stalemate in the Strait of Hormuz—or even an escalation of his unpopular war to force a reopening of the oil passageway—would be even more politically perilous for Trump and the GOP, as elevated gas prices are a disaster for the party in power.
High gas prices sparked by the war in Iran are already making their way into Democratic attack ads.
“Spending like DRUNKEN sailors,” a narrator in a House Majority PAC ad against vulnerable Wisconsin GOP Rep. Derrick Van Orden says. “Blowing America’s budget with every bomb blast overseas. Derrick Van Orden voted for it all. As the war drives gas and grocery prices through the roof. Derrick Van Orden, BILLIONS on bombs. Everyday Wisconsinites, drowning in bills and high prices.”
That line of attack is potent, and why Democrats are feeling good about their chances in November.
And it’s why Republicans are desperately searching for a way to change their fortunes, even resorting to a smear campaign against former public health official Anthony Fauci and lying to scare voters into believing Democrats are communists.
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