Data: U.S. Energy Information Administration; Chart: Ben Geman/Axios
With the Iran war now over 100 days old, here's the latest rolling snapshot of how it's driving changes in energy markets.
The big picture: Global
oil use is going down (in the short term), UN climate officials are
using the crisis to push for clean energy, and coal is getting more use
in the Asia-Pacific region.
🛢️ Oil: The
Department of Energy's data arm now sees global oil use dropping this
year by 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) before bouncing back next
year.
The big picture: "High fuel prices,
reduced fuel availability, and government initiatives have lowered oil
demand," the Energy Information Administration said in its latest outlook Tuesday.
The intrigue: The agency again boosted its estimate of U.S. production growth, signaling a real — but not huge — response to higher prices.
What's next:
It now sees a rise from 13.7 million bpd this year to almost 14.2
million bpd next year, compared to a pre-war estimate of a 2027 decline
to 13.3 million.
🌏 Global warming: Officials at midyear UN climate talks in Bonn, Germany, this week are pointing to the crisis to justify more aggressive steps.
Driving the news: The Turkish hosts of the big annual UN summit in November (COP31) on Tuesday unveiled initiatives including a target of electricity meeting 35% of total global energy demand by 2035.
Friction point:
Simon Stiell, the top UN climate official, said in a statement that the
"current fossil fuel cost crisis" is "painfully" making the case for
these kinds of efforts.
🏭 Coal: New analysis
from the consultancy Rystad Energy shows a "significant near-term
surge" in use of coal for power generation in the Asia-Pacific region.
State of play: Disruptions
in Qatar's liquefied natural gas sector and higher prices for the fuel
are driving the increase in the most CO2-emitting fuel.
Yes, but:
While coal is getting a near-term boost, a number of analysts see the
conflict also driving more movement toward renewables and storage in
various regions.
Sign up here for Axios' Future of Energy newsletter.
See how your pay compares to the CEOs of the top US companies
New data shows that compensation for the top jobs rose 5.9% in 2025
This Wednesday, June 6, 2018, file photo shows U.S. dollars in New York. (AP Photo/Ted Shaffrey, File)
Published 8:02 AM EDT, May 27, 2026
9
The typical CEO compensation
package rose nearly 6% in 2025 to $17.7 million, as company boards
rewarded their top executives for growing profits and boosting returns for shareholders, and gave them incentives to stick around and keep the ball rolling in the years ahead.
At
half the companies in the AP’s survey it would take the worker at the
middle of the company’s pay scale 200 years to make what the CEO did in
one, up from 192 years in last year’s survey.
To see how your pay compares to the top CEOs’ compensation, enter your annual salary in the box below.
—
The
Associated Press’ CEO compensation survey, which uses data analyzed for
The AP by Equilar, included pay data for 337 executives at S&P 500
companies who have served at least two full consecutive fiscal years at
their companies, which filed proxy statements between Jan. 1 and April
30.
Attribution: APDemocratic Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner speaks at a town hall in Ogunquit, Maine, in Oct. 2025.
Senate candidate Graham Platner’s key energy goal is to reduce costs
for Mainers. He’d also like to tax the “ever-living hell out of the
companies that made a lot of money on fossil fuels while they destroyed
the planet.”
Graham Platner, the presumptive Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate
from Maine, is known for a few things: his “more Bernie than Bernie”
message of wresting back control from the rich and powerful; his
biography as a Marine Corps veteran and oyster farmer with limited
political experience; and his history of controversial and offensive online commentary and tattoos.
Climate champion? Not so much.
But in recent weeks, Platner, who has talked about finding
peace from some of his post-combat demons and political disillusionment
while working on the clear blue waters of the Gulf of Maine, has
started to roll out a message of protecting both the planet and
pocketbooks, including through an energy plan released last week.
“We need to get off fossil fuels, not just for its impact on the
environment and climate,” Platner told Inside Climate News in a summary
of that plan. “We need to get off fossil fuels because that would make
America self-sustaining.”
With the departure of Maine’s Governor Janet Mills,
a candidate with a strong record of supporting renewable energy,
Platner is the presumptive Democratic nominee, although a third
candidate with a strong environmental record, David Costello, remains in
the primary race.
Through the energy plan and his messaging, Platner draws on elements
of the Green New Deal championed by the likes of Sen. Bernie Sanders.
Look closely and you see him attempting to navigate the tensions
inherent in a progressive environmental agenda today—between
affordability now and in the future, between building and conserving,
between moving fast and consulting people—in interesting and sometimes
novel ways.
The early response among climate advocates in Maine has been
positive; it remains to be seen how these ideas land among the wider
electorate.
A Boat’s-Eye View
Attribution: APGraham Platner speaks at an Oct. 2025 town hall in Ogunquit, Maine.
Platner has seen the effects of climate change in his hometown of
Sullivan and throughout coastal Maine, although, he told ICN, so far not
directly at his oyster farm.
Lobster piers that had stood for decades were destroyed or underwater, Platner recalled.
“And it’s hard when that happens to look at it and be like, ‘Well, things are fine.’”
When asked why voters who care about climate action should vote for
him at a recent town hall in Sabattus, Platner offered what amounted to
an order of operations once in office: “Before we had outright fascism
in the streets of this country, I would have said that climate change
was the single greatest challenge that we faced. Sadly, in the short
term, we’ve got to deal with the fascists.”
One volunteer climate advocate—Tom Mikulka, a co-facilitator for the
Portland chapter of Third Act, a national group of retirees advocating
for climate action—likes what he’s heard so far.
“He talks like a young ‘Third Actor,’” Mikulka said of Platner, while contrasting his positions to those of incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins,
Platner’s likely opponent in the general election, whom he called, “one
of the biggest enemies of the climate movement, certainly in Maine.”
And Emma Conrad, chair of the political committee of the Maine Sierra
Club, which prominently endorsed Platner prior to Mills suspending her
campaign, wrote that, “Platner’s focus on corporate greed, especially
that of our country’s largest polluters, aligns closely with Sierra Club
priorities.”
Relief at the Pump and the Meter
Attribution: APA sign shows the price of gas at a store on March 31 in Freeport, Maine.
Platner’s energy plan calls for immediate relief from high energy prices.
Those prices are a major concern in Maine, as in many parts of the country. Electricity prices for residential customers are among the nation’s highest after rising steeply over the past decade. Heavy reliance on fuel oil and kerosene to heat homes is also a major cost driver, an issue that has only become more severe since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, leading to chokeholds on global petroleum supply by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz.
Platner’s plan calls for incentivizing states to freeze electricity rates temporarily, as Gov. Mikie Sherrill has attempted to do in New Jersey.
It also calls for eliminating federal taxes on gasoline and diesel
fuel, and instead funding the major road and infrastructure projects
those taxes currently pay for with higher taxes on the wealthiest
Americans.
“[R]egressive gas and diesel taxes hit working class Mainers the
hardest,” the plan reads. “Relying on fossil fuels to fund basic
infrastructure does not make sense if we want to reduce fossil fuels
used in transportation.”
And it calls for rebates on electricity bills, to be paid for out of a
tax on “windfall profits” U.S. oil companies have made since the start
of the war with Iran, an idea first proposed by U.S. Rep. Ro Khanna of California and Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island, both Democrats.
Platner was noncommittal at the Town Hall about whether he supported
an outright moratorium on construction of new data centers—as was
recently proposed in Maine, a measure that Gov. Mills vetoed, upsetting her left flank—although other reports have him supporting such a measure on a private call with environmental activists.
He instead emphasized that a data center should be required to
co-locate energy generation, or “bring its own power.” That requirement
could help shield ratepayers from new costs associated
with data centers. But without restrictions on fossil fuel power
sources—especially in states that otherwise have strong renewable energy
requirements—such facilities could make air pollution dramatically worse.
In an interview with ICN, Platner said that “we need to take a breath
and implement actual functional policy around [data centers].” Asked
whether there should be restrictions on the type of power supply a data
center can co-locate, Platner said that was “not something I’ve thought
about yet.” The campaign told ICN a more extensive policy on data
centers is in the works.
Build, Baby, Build
Attribution: APA
campaign volunteer hangs a sign before Democratic Maine Senate
candidate Graham Platner speaks at a town hall in Ogunquit, Maine, in
Oct. 2025.
Platner’s energy plan is more fully fleshed out. Francis Eanes, who
is executive director of the Maine Labor Climate Council and who advised
on the plan, said immediate relief for consumers is “essential if we
want to build enough time, both politically and materially, for us to
make the real, huge, significant investments to build our way out of
this crisis.”
The plan calls for the federal government to make those investments
through several channels. First is a fund to provide low-interest loans
to developers of transmission lines and large clean energy projects,
both of which require significant amounts of up-front capital, whose
borrowing costs has often thwarted or delayed such projects (even before President Trump began canceling permits, delaying reviews, and otherwise moving againstthem).
The second is through use of the Defense Production Act—a law by
which the feds can compel the private sector to produce goods essential
to national security—to ramp up manufacturing of parts and supplies for
those projects. That law was notably used to speed up production of
personal protective equipment and vaccines during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Such ideas might raise fears of being tarred with the brush of
“waste, fraud, and abuse” that the Trump Administration has assiduously
applied, with scant evidence, while gutting foreign aid and domestic clean energy assistance programs.
Eanes said that such initiatives should come with guardrails to prevent fraud or abuse but, echoing 18th-century Jewish mystic Rabbi Nachman of Bratslav, suggested that the important thing is not to be afraid.
“I think a lot of folks look back to the Solyndra days of the Obama
administration, and the investment that got made there, and the fact
that Solyndra later failed, and people, I think, have over learned that
lesson. And they’ve gotten so cautious about making investments that
might fail that they forget that the private sector does this all the
time,” Eanes said.
Instead of “‘Can government bat 1.000?,’” Eanes went on, “The
question is, can government deliver on the outcomes that we all agree
are socially urgent and necessary?”
These elements of the plan drew a mix of praise and targeted criticism from several energy and economic policy experts.
Ari Peskoe, director of the Electricity Law Initiative at Harvard Law
School, applauded the energy infrastructure fund, calling government
funding one of the “tried and true ways to bring down the cost of
investment in needed infrastructure” like transmission lines.
Stephanie Kelton, an academic who served as chief economist to the
Senate Budget Committee under Bernie Sanders’ chairmanship in the first
two years of the Biden Administration, supported the spending efforts.
But she said that Platner was “really painting himself into a corner” by
linking each new spending proposal in the plan to a new source of
revenue, such as taxes on oil profits or wealth.
“If you’re trying to deal with the urgent crisis that we are facing,
then you need a full-throated public commitment to providing the
resources, the funding to achieve the mission,” said Kelton, a proponent
of “modern monetary theory” who believes in deficit spending to pursue
socially beneficial goods like clean energy or housing.
Naming an Enemy
Attribution: APGraham Platner speaks at an Oct. 2025 town hall in Ogunquit, Maine.
Platner’s thinking on how to pay for green infrastructure is part of
an approach to climate politics foreshadowed in his now-famous campaign launch video, when he says, between swings of the kettlebell, “I’m not afraid to name an enemy. And the enemy is the oligarchy.”
And, according to Platner, for climate change, the oligarchy is Big Oil and Gas.
“We also need to tax the ever-living hell out of the companies that
made a lot of money on fossil fuels while they destroyed the planet,” he
said at the Sabattus town hall.
Similarly, Eanes said that one of the benefits to linking new
spending to a tax on oil profits is reinforcing this connection in
voters’ minds. “It’s important if we want to win people’s trust and
credibility that we can name an enemy, and we can name who’s standing in
our way, and we can name who’s profiting off of the backs of everyday
working people,” he said.
The energy plan does seek to help with at least the former, calling
for federal funding for a “Whole Home Repair Program” modeled off
Pennsylvania’s, to fund the types of repairs to a building’s envelope
and electric wiring that are necessary first steps before an electric
heat pump can be effective, while also making the house more comfortable
and valuable.
Eanes suggested that a dedicated climate plan the Platner campaign
intends to release later in the summer may contain further proposals to
address these issues.
Forging Alliances
Attribution: APGraham Platner speaks at a news conference on Apri 30 in Lewiston, Maine.
The focus on housing is also at the core of an organizing strategy
pursued by Platner and his allies, including Eanes’s organization, one
that demonstrates a wide-angle lens on what a climate movement should
do.
The Maine Labor Climate Coalition was organizing in Searsport to
build support for construction of a staging ground for the floating
offshore wind turbines the state of Maine hopes to build. When that
effort was paused, in large part due to the
Trump Administration’s efforts to thwart offshore wind, the group
pivoted to supporting local residents of mobile homes’ campaign to pass a
law stabilizing rents in their communities—an effort that succeeded.
Platner said he simply attended one of the organizing meetings in
Searsport and that “other people… deserve the credit” for the success
there, although he did canvass in support of similar efforts in other
parts of the state.
As a result of these wider campaigns, Eanes said his group is “in
regular organizing relationships with between 1,000 to 2,000 of the most
vulnerable, low-income residents across our state who feel alienated
from the political system, feel generally deeply alienated from
questions of climate and clean energy, because they’re facing crisestoday that they want answers to.”
He sees the best climate strategy as one that helps people address
current problems while simultaneously building support for addressing
the biggest planetary crisis of them all.
“I see just huge opportunity for anyone or any organization that
cares about climate to think about where and how we can broaden our
lane,” Eanes said.
Younger climate-conscious voters gave Platner high marks for publicly supporting restoration
of full sovereignty rights for Maine’s native Wabanaki tribes. Platner
testified in support of two state bills earlier this year that would
have ended the current exclusion of the tribes from the full benefits of federal laws that include several rights core to self-determination.
Roz O’Reilly said she appreciated Platner “being this messenger to
communicate things that some people unfortunately just need [to hear
from] someone who they see themselves in.”
O’Reilly, 18, is advocacy and storytelling manager for JustME for
JustUS, a group organizing rural Maine youth “to create lasting power
for their rural communities and the natural environment.” She sees
tribal sovereignty as “inextricably woven” with climate justice.
“We have a lot to learn as climate advocates from the relationship
that Indigenous peoples have held with the land for so long,” O’Reilly
said.
Contrasting Approaches
Attribution: APDavid Costello, Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate from Maine, speaks with a person in Saco, Maine, in Oct. 2024.
David Costello, a former acting secretaryof the
Maryland Department of the Environment running against Platner in the
Democratic primary, also supported tribal sovereignty rights at a candidate forum hosted by the Penobscot Nation he attended with Platner.
Costello lags almost impossibly behind Platner in the polls.
His environmental bona fides include helping craft Maryland’s initial
climate action plan and moving some of the state’s earliest large-scale
wind, solar and battery storage projects forward. His ideas provide a
helpful contrast with some of the more unorthodox policy ideas of
Platner.
For instance, in speaking to ICN, Costello said he supported putting a “price on carbon,” echoing his website’s call for “strict greenhouse gas emissions caps”—quintessential long-time asks for climate advocates.
Costello acknowledged that “maybe it is bad politics,” but also
believes a cap or tax on carbon is “more sellable than we ever thought,”
with a focus on investing the proceeds to benefit low-income
households. That was how top Senate Democrats tried—and failed—to sell such a policy to the White House under President Joe Biden in 2021.
In contrast to Costello, and despite his call to “tax the ever-living
hell out of” fossil fuel companies, Platner’s energy platform calls for
eliminating the federal gasoline excise tax.
Unlike some advocates of that approach, he isn’t afraid to use the words “climate change.” He
told ICN that, at least in Maine, those words no longer are as
alienating to independent or conservative-minded voters as they once
might have been.
“I don’t think [the words climate change] are as much of a shut off
as they used to be, primarily just because of the material realities
that we’re seeing,” Platner said.
No Bunkers
Attribution: APGraham Platner speaks at a news conference on April 30 in Lewiston, Maine.
Platner’s campaign has tapped into two major currents—progressive
outrage over Trump and working-class anger about unaffordability and
elite capture of politics. He is now beginning to weave a familiar Green
New Deal style labor-climate-social welfare set of proposals into those
currents, including at the Sabattus Town Hall.
“As we build all of this [infrastructure],” Platner said at that event, “it better be built with union labor.”
That drew whoops from the crowd, including from Lynn Gougeon, a retired corrections officer and union member from Gardiner.
Gougeon told ICN that the marriage of labor and environmental
concerns was core to her support for Platner, sounding a lot like him as
she did.
“We are the ones that are affected—the laborers—by environmental
decisions that are being made. We’re the ones that are threatened—if the
oligarchs win, they’re going to destroy the whole world in order to
extract as much profit as they can from the earth. But if we win, we’re
going to take care of it because it is our backyard,” Gougeon said. “We
don’t have a bunker to go to.”
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Comment by jprato.
While
I understand the need to address climate change a good deal of the
public does not or rejects it when it hits their pocket books. Strategic
reductions to eliminate subsidies for fossil fuels and pointing them to
renewable sources because they will LOWER energy costs is a smart
direction to go. Passing laws banning gas stoves is just giving
Republicans their next campaign issue to beat Democrats over the head
with.
Comment by Paul C.
What
I find most exciting is that Platner is rejecting outright the self
censorship and accompanying cowardice that must accompany a strategic
philosophy that says we must place the needs of the oligarchs above the
needs of our actual base of working class people.
There
is no way to catalyze substantive change without placing the enemies of
that change front and center because that is the only way to construct a
coherent narrative that both addresses what everyone knows to be the
truth and thereby create the mandate for the required changes during
those critical first months in office.
Substantive
change in an oligarchy is not tinkering to please everyone. That only
creates a vacuum that the oligarchs rush to fill with an astroturf
revolution, as happened with the cynically named Tea Party revolution
and its accompanying right wing Think Tanks, media and militias all
culminating in the farce of a man like Trump winning on a message of
overthrowing the status quo - all financed by the very oligarchs
constituting the same status quo.
During
a time of extremis such as this, beware of any politician refusing to
say out loud what everyone knows is happening and who does not
explicitly run on a clearly stated platform of priorities and policies
to fix what is broken. Platitudes such as "Hope and Change" always mean
more of the same, by definition, because the public have not been moved
to embrace a clearly articulated narrative about what is wrong, who the
major actors are and what the policy fix needs to be.
We need to wise up and stop being victimized by spineless career politicians whose only real goal is dying in office.
Comment by Robpos.
Personally,
I’d much rather have a repentant sinner, trying to become more than he
was instead of an unrepentant sinner who can’t see where they went
wrong.
Comment by oldmanriver.
Excellent diary. Agree or not, it is very well researched with dozens of references and a clear focus. Kudos to the diarist.
Comment by ExCorpFlunky (ZCT.Life).
I’m
glad he’s talking about it, at least. We certainly need to end all
fossil fuel subsidies and take strong action to fight the climate
crisis. This is a debate we need to have about the best ways, and we
also must win this debate against the other party.
Comment by Odysseus.
“[R]egressive
gas and diesel taxes hit working class Mainers the hardest,” the plan
reads. “Relying on fossil fuels to fund basic infrastructure does not
make sense if we want to reduce fossil fuels used in transportation.”
Both wrong and wrongheaded.
We
need to discuss how to meet the needs of working class people without
insisting that those solutions can only happen at an individual atomized
level. Public transport needs to be improved.
Separately,
Taxes do not "fund" federal spending. Congressional appropriations
create money, taxes destroy money. Platner is trying to close a loop
that is not in fact closed. What we spend money on at the federal level
has nothing to do with what we tax. Nixon took us off the Gold
Standard in the 1970s.
Reply by Rob in Vermont.
Being a Berniecrat he's likely a lot more apt than most candidates to be open to MMT.
Comment by Odysseus.
"It also calls for eliminating federal taxes on gasoline and diesel fuel,"
Not just no but hell no.
We need to raise taxes on fossil fuels immensely. Not by cents but by dollars.
That
can be accomplished indirectly, with something like a general carbon
tax. Or it can be accomplished directly with the existing fossil fuels
tax.
We will never decarbonize transportation if we keep subsidizing polluters.
Reply by Rob in Vermont.
He argues that it's a regressive tax.
Reply by Odysseus.
... and?
There are much stronger arguments against his proposed action. I listed afew of them.
Reply by Rob in Vermont.
I didn't reject your point. I just mentioned his.
Reply by oldmanriver.
That
was my initial reaction too. On second thought he has a point. If the
goal is to transition to EVs then relying on a gas tax is self
defeating. Like, take your plan. Raise the federal gas tax by $2 per
gallon. Politically that is a suicide mission. And practically, your
revenue drops fast and approaches zero over time. So you have to have a
new political fight about funding all over again. Not saying that his
plan is perfect but it makes as much sense as any other I've seen.
Let me rephrase your conclusion:
We will never decarbonize transportation if we rely on carbon emissions for funding.
Reply by gosoxataboy.
That
last line is effectively a non sequitur. He wants to eliminate the gas
tax and instead raise taxes on the wealthy for funding. The latter can
be done without the first. And if we raised the gas tax to reduce carbon
(though I agree it is politically unlikely) and revenue eventually
declined, then we could simply find other sources of revenue to replace
it - like states taxing EVs are already doing. I see him saying he wants
to get us off of fossil fuels but not how to do it. And making them
cheaper isn't itedited
Reply by oldmanriver.
Why
is that a non sequitur? Seems logical to me. The gas tax that we rely
on requires carbon emissions. Breaking that reliance allows us to
reduce carbon emissions without a funding crisis. It seems more like we
disagree on timing mostly.
I
would consider dumping gas tax and implementing vehicle fees
simultaneously. You prefer high fuel tax until behavior changes then
making the switch. In a perfect ethical world you are correct. In a
world of selfish American politics I think the voters reject the party
of high gas taxes so your ideal plan never happens. And all our other
priorities fail as a result.
Honestly, do you think a national candidate proposing $2 gas tax could get more than 100 electoral votes? In this country?
Reply by oldmanriver.
Oops I replied to myself. See below...
Reply by Tak v2.
Which isn't even an argument. It's just pointing out reality.
Reply by G2geek.
Platner's
got an excellent point here, and it's convergent with other threads of
progressive politics, and your expansion on it is as well.
- It's a regressive tax.
- Yes, political suicide to raise the tax.
- We shouldn't fund essentials with a self-eliminating funding source.
- Far better to raise progressive taxes, pass the bill once and get it over with, and have a self-sustaining funding source.
- And, that will also provide a better funding source for gov action on climate.
Many
of us who are eco-hardcores have been calling for increased carbon
fuels taxes, and we have never made the connexion that these are
inherently regressive taxes.
Platner got it: he's thinking outside the box. That counts for a lot in my world.
Reply by Odysseus.
"we have never made the connexion that these are inherently regressive taxes."
Nonsense.
Every carbon tax advocate that I have ever heard of has explicitly
noted that raising carbon taxes alone is indeed regressive. That's why
the most common proposals are fee-and-dividend, something structured
like the Alaska Permanent Fund. Put a severance tax on the carbon mines
and oil rigs, and pay everyone from the resulting fund.
The
rich people who are the major sources of carbon intense activity wind
up paying more, and any impact on lower income folk is mitigated.
Comment by Mark Lippman.
It
almost seems like some people are trying to drown out Platner's policy
platform by distracting attention away from it to insist on other
matters.
Reply by kenerator.
Care to explain?
Reply by Mark Lippman.
Look
at the comment thread. It was hijacked away from the topic ***Platner's
green energy proposals*** to other matters. Threadjacking is a
violation of the Rule of the Road. https://www.dailykos.com/rules-of-the-road/
Reply by G2geek.
Threadjackers
are a thing (as in, headaches & nausea are a thing). Perhaps
they're getting more sophisticated than back in the day when they'd just
go in and poop all over the conversation and get flagged.
Thanks for calling it out.
Reply by Isny.
My
eyes rolled to the back of my head when I started reading the comments.
"Not this again, and again" I was thinking. And all those nasties
were coming from out-of-staters.
Yeah, let's not talk about climate change remedies, let's re-hash the Totenkopf and old Reddit comments. Snort.
Reply by redsprite.
I don't like some of the things he's said and done, but he's come from nowhere to becom
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